Showing posts with label economics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label economics. Show all posts

Sunday, March 16, 2008

The Report: China is a likely winner of the information age supply chain through ecommerce by sticking with its successful strategies

McDonalds says Welcome in China The Report
China is a likely winner of the information age supply chain through ecommerce by sticking with its successful strategy of continued steady growth, coupled with continuing (the appearance of) a transparent society (where currently major decisions are made by top government and business officials behind closed doors) which manipulate and manage economies at large.

In order to be considered a great global leader China should maintain peace and respect for corporate property rights. They need to immediately focus on their serious environmental pollution problems to survive. Politically China needs to resolve the long-standing repression of the Tibetan people; it is too expensive in terms of public relations.

Caption: "The sign that says you're welcome in Shanghai" - Johnny Vulkan http://www.flickr.com/photos/johnnyvulkan/1856903750/

The evidence is clear: China has McDonalds restaurants, and with extensive factories they make Dell and other computers. Bill Gates is eagerly pursuing business with China, and the Chinese government has given Microsoft the right to grant post-doctorial fellowships. Key companies invested in technology are willing to go to court to keep the most important Chinese corporate leaders. Kai-Fu Lee, once a vice-president at Microsoft is now Google's manager in China. Mr. Lee was the person at the center of twin lawsuits (suit and countersuit), a battle over which of the two companies would win him to work for them - he may be the ultimate in 'intellectual property.'

Caption ”On the Shanghai subway, rather than advertising computers for sale, Dell promotes job openings.” Danburg Murmur http://www.flickr.com/photos/danburgmurmur/247299162/

What is at issue are personably identifiable information (PII) and intellectual property rights (patents and copyrights) which are legislated and widely respected in the West.

Personal information is the feeder fish at the bottom of the information age food chain. China does not believe people have a right to privacy because of how communism is structured; this is true of members of their society until that person is wealthy and thus powerful enough to opt out of it, and even then the appearance of opting in must be kept.

Even in the West Intellectual property rights are eroding, which is as it should be, as it is not the same as owning a house, and can be damaging to others on a massive scale such as medical patents for aids, cancer, and other life saving drugs.

The Chinese style of governance comes with a 5 thousand year old administrative history of ordering a society consisting of large numbers of people. Because most people in American and the West do not speak their language nor write it, much of China remains a society closed to the English speaking countries. Due to communication barriers the West does not have the very healthy level of respect for China that it should.

The Chinese written language may give China advantages with online screens unknown in the West with their thousands of dense glyphs, pictographs, and phonetic parts. Currently it is estimated more than 1 billion people use some form of Chinese as their native language.

China Business Day street level announcements at Microsoft, spring 2008, Redmond, Washington, USAIt can be said that he who owns the resources wins; especially true when supply chains are consistent and reliable. This applies to personally identifiable information in the information age as it relates to sales, because personal information is a building block in the information supply chain. Creating mass marketing campaigns targeting not just individuals but large groups of people is based on creating desire, an example is Steve Jobs and the Apple iPod. This is in addition to knowing what people want, not just what they need.

Meeting the needs of all people in the world is still a goal some people are working towards, while many more others try to capture wealth only for themselves and their investors. From the point of view that in the long run we’re all dead, many investors do not view themselves as breaking any moral,ethical, or other rules, just trying to get ahead, or make a profit on their investment, which they want right now. This uninformed short sighted view is killing people, and eroding the middle class of nations. Any country that has a middle class will miss it when it is gone; most countries are trying to build their middle class.

Business to Business (B2B) resource supply chains control wealth. Only the wealthy have a reason to protect privacy of information, because the poor and the very poor have much more immediate concerns. Hopefully the Chinese will learn as other countries like Malaysia did, that including diverse ethnic types is not just a ethical ideal, it is a strategy for long term success.

This lesson continues to be a painful and costly lesson to the US, which in many ways is exclusionary. Viewing the poor as beggars while subsidizing production with huge remedies is one of the inadequacies that may be overturned as international growth is managed at a global level because it can not be justified as anything other than corrupt practices. By all accounts I read, generosity in international relationships is mythical and with the digital age has only grown worse . Does it matter what you wear while you ask for money or how well educated you are? Apparently it does.

One size fits all privacy will never suit everyone because it has a biological basis and the need increases with education, and its cousin, wealth. Increasingly to have the opt out choice in terms of privacy you need wealth. That too will change subtly because as ecommerce becomes pervasive, some system or sets of systems will always knows that someone is there in some detectable way.

The patent and copyright systems can be damaging to others on a global scale by shutting down creativity, and unfairly favoring their protection even against life, due to medical patents for aids, cancer, and other life saving drugs being so expensive to produce or purchase that people are allowed to die as a result. Calls to action for multinational drug companies to reduce these costs, have changed little or nothing in the developing world. This has been featured so well in the headlines and news stories lately that it can hardly be a surprise to anyone that it is a problem – youth know because Digital Rights Management (DRM) is dead.

Ecommerce is a tool and can be used in many ways. Trading is already a cold transaction and to remove it from human context makes it even more so. In accounting they discuss "arms length transactions" - with ecommerce those arms get pretty long.

So we can expect that the human repercussions of global ecommerce, driven by the integration of B2B procurement systems, could stabilize and destabilize entire populations unless the planning is very good. That means everyone must hold the keys in some way, and be open to transparency at some level which runs counter to special interest groups . Transparency in action does exactly what it need to do, but which, for example, is not a match for the existing Chinese culture.

Tibetans praying at the Boudha Stupa, one man wearing a 'China' shirt, Kathmandu, NepalReal transparency in global governance with a goal to meet the basic needs of all people living sounds like a science fiction plot, but that is what makes it exciting. Transparent governance may only become possible due to radically unexpected causes, like education, religious idealism, or a shared social solution of the young through organizations such as http://www.one.org/. Oddly enough one of the religions which may benefit China is Tibetan Buddhism.

Ecommerce will not cause peace in the world, educated people working with strong idealism in transparent cultures will. Still my conclusion remains that China is a likely winner of the information age supply chain through ecommerce. We should invest in China.

Readings:
Making Globalization Work by Joseph E. Stiglitz

The Lexus and the Olive Tree: Understanding Globalization by Thomas Friedman

The World Is Flat 3.0: A Brief History of the Twenty-first Century by Thomas Friedman

The World Is Flat?: A Critical Analysis of New York Times Bestseller by Thomas Friedman by Ronald Aronica and Mtetwa Ramdoo

Freakonomics [Revised and Expanded]: A Rogue Economist Explores the Hidden Side of Everything by Steven D. Levitt and Stephen J. Dubner

Saturday, March 08, 2008

Rant

--Sorry I was speaking in hyper dense terms expecting you have read what I have read etc. we havent exactly studied the same stuff. we don't think in the same way - transparency bias showing like an invisable slip, or a guiding hand that isnt there

it relates through intellectual property and what I am saying is that privacy does not have a one size fits all solution. Some choices are hard-wired and in some ways that will never go away while human beings exist unless you selectively breed it out of them

the joke about internet porn was in relation to a TV ad that is repeated frequently played bevause it catches our attention, I don't really go for internet porn, it doesn't interest me. but it was about how americans are attracted to it and probably many people as it relates to biology as in reproduction and seems to be something hard wired in humans, with social coverings and differing norms and is related to privacy. it is rediculous but there.

The french for example don't want anyone to know what they earn or pay in taxes on their real estate that information they consider private, in america real estate taxes are public information. the french dont mind showing off something that the publically prudish americans swear they have no interest in but are actually facinated by in private (hence the joke about internet porn) such as their breasts on public beaches, just like brazil or italians. (depends on what you look like in the buff for some?)

But in China what you read may not be private. the differences I have seen in China have more to do with gender preferencial treatment than what we would even consider giving up as private (our thoughts freedom of expression etc) People do not chat on the bus or the train in China, because they are afraid of their government. That is fear of their private thoughts being known - illustion of transparency, but for them its real ... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Illusion_of_transparency

biologically privacy is shown even among animals, by its very nature humans need some forms of privacy. Since it costs a human mother a certain amount of calories to concieve, bear and raise children, she will want to do that in a private, controlled, SAFE, environment - this means controllling who has access to her, her family and any and all information about them

Why? Because she wants the protection afforded by the many levels of privacy, physical, ecomomic, social, informational etc what ever other kinds, because they related to safety and security. Privacy is a individual and group response to biological needs for safety and security even in communial cultures. The desire for an increase in privacy generally rises with the level of an increase in woman's education which is linked to increases in the stabiltiy of nations. there are also social norms related to physical privacy, just travel to India and you'll see someone washing their private parts in public, china and you can not walk down the street with out your body space being invaded - these are social norms.

as far as China - he who has the key to resources has wealth. Think about B 2 B supply chains and intellectual property is again a form of wealth in the information age. traditional economics holds that (resources) its like diamonds and gold and timber and potato(e thx mr bush)s and pork bellies. But as our world grows flatter and ecomomic competion increases globally knowing information to turn it into things like instant *buy*sell* investments is a form of wealth. Of these forms information about people, our private information which we now consider an opt in privilege for others to have may become more like an opt out privilege to pay others to obtain so we aren't bugged etc. we want to make choices as you said, and that includes about our private information. just like walled villas of the rich and wanna be rich.

Think about Matrix as Neo walks through ads. He never had privacy - that is not going to happen because he will be able to afford to turn it off - he kept it on so he would not appear so wealthy in public which would tend to draw attention to him
waterbox
think about the issues of choice modeling, a - b testing, cognitive biases,http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_cognitive_biases and all the biases in choices, the user is king, the more you know about your user the more power you have over them. All that Use case senario user testing marketing profiling stuff is about getting people the user to do what you want them to, in the guise of serving them at some level. user testing is about knowing what is in someone's mind, making tacit information into data/info/knowled/wisdom/=money.

Long term its been about class struggles but in contrast what do inventors and academics care about - not money but what their peers think - it's controllable. why work on designing new aids drugs if you know 3rd world folks will die anyway cause they can't afford the medicinal drugs regardless of emergency agreements?

private information is a form of wealth to seek sales or other goals. privacy issues will not go away even in the far flung future, because there will be differences in personal needs, different laws, coping strategies, biologically driven needs etc

as for a mothers strategy of complete transparency complete openness - it would fail because of the reason stated before - people do want to lean in at the table and learn some juicy gossip, the less spiritually and morally mature want to hate and hurt anyone they percieve as being a HAVE, talent money love what ever.

The children's naked bodies were examined by the police because the neighbours accused the mother of torchering them because the neighbours were just plain jealous of that artistic way of life, openness, joie d vive, etc this society is not ready for glasnost/transparency/openness as long as competition exists we will all search for something to cover whatever we percieve as our nakidness this side of Eden.


Outside the Gates of Eden - by Christopher Wilkinson

"There are no truths outside the gates of Eden. There none inside either. Truths tend to be defined. The domain of no definition is bliss. Bliss is orgasmic reality without center or boundary. On the outside of the gates, this is well conceived as the structure of a mandala. There are male and female aspects. The chip is material, and like the male principle, represents the structure of the mandala. The software -- particularly the OS, is basically female, and represents the intuitive power of consciousness -- the thing that gives it life.
...

Humanity is at constant war, whether it be war for good or war for conquest, or just to prove who is better or worse. The trials that determine who is right and who is wrong are only functional where the binary reality structure has been imposed on experiential truth -- at the level of total intermesh between OS and hardware -- life and earth -- yab and yum -- at this level all binaries are conventionalities at best. ..Information regarding the endlessness and painful condition of Samsara would tend to be depressing, as there is no real hope for consummate orgasmic awareness to override the dualistic binaries that dwell outside the gates of Eden."

Read:The World Is Flat 3.0: A Brief History of the Twenty-first Century by Thomas Friedman The World Is Flat?: A Critical Analysis of New York Times Bestseller by Thomas Friedman by Ronald Aronica and Mtetwa Ramdoo Freakonomics [Revised and Expanded]: A Rogue Economist Explores the Hidden Side of Everything by Steven D. Levitt and Stephen J. Dubner The Lexus and the Olive Tree: Understanding Globalization by Thomas Friedman Making Globalization Work by Joseph E. Stiglitz

improveverywhere.com

Saturday, March 01, 2008

Sky Flowers

Free Tibet

Somehow, this image reminded me of what Tibet would feel like as a free place, with freedom of speech and religion, sort of floating up into the blue like a sky flower

What is less obvious is how China's invasion of Tibet has colored my life. 29 years of studying the extraordinary lamas' revered methods, seeing our world through their eyes a global view, within a completely universal framework. They love ruthlessly.

Do you know why His Holiness calls for peace? He understands cause and effect. When you can recall your last 13 lifetimes it will change your perspective too. That alone would give one a longer view.


You may ask - why don't the Tibetans still in Tibet just leave their ancient homeland, leave their farms and houses, and friends? They can not do so under fear of death. This fall far fewer Tibetans snuck across their southern borders to nations such as Nepal. There is real fear ... and as we now see it is justified.

Why don't the Tibetans come here? Why when they do come here posing as non-resident workers at factories why do they 'defect' en masse? The US does not recognize them as refugees, and therefore they can not obtain passports or visas in most cases except illegally, purchasing phoney documents in the 3rd world; it is easy but expensive.

China is trying to paint her face like an old lady to appear young, or in this case from brutal ruler to a forward thinking host of the Olympics. It appears the effort has backfired.

From the Tibetans living in Nepal, and foreign business people on my last trip there in Oct-Nov, if you travel just 30 KM outside of the Olympic Games area, you will find extreme poverty exists and is easy to see. One Tibetan refugee, a woman whose husband works as a trader, told me "In the Himalayan borders the soldiers shoot first, never ask questions."


I lucked out because the Chinese invaded Tibet. I benefited because China was power hungry. I am better off because of the highly placed Tibetans who landed here.

Among other things I was warned not to discuss religion - one lama told me that Americans have freedom of religion, but we don't believe in freedom of religion.

Long live HH The Dalai Lama, and anyone else who is a member of his "clique" hen hen he. I am completely in awe of him; I humbly and respectly bow as an American with a million billion visualized unique bodies to His Holiness the 14th Dalai Lama.

How I made this image
= at work a couple of weeks I've been waiting for my software to arrive. So I made this, in stages as I learned another graphics package. Easy.